| Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
57 |
1.000 |
$56.62 |
$18.17 |
+47.3% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? |
No |
71 |
0.720 |
$51.34 |
$-5.34 |
-9.4% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
1,991 |
0.019 |
$37.83 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat? |
No |
37 |
0.870 |
$32.55 |
$2.16 |
+7.1% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
No |
28 |
0.900 |
$25.50 |
$7.40 |
+40.9% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? |
No |
47 |
0.540 |
$25.47 |
$-4.83 |
-15.9% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat? |
No |
18 |
0.948 |
$17.53 |
$0.26 |
+1.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat? |
Yes |
18 |
0.895 |
$16.02 |
$8.15 |
+103.5% |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
663 |
0.021 |
$13.58 |
$-2.28 |
-14.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
250 |
0.054 |
$13.49 |
$-10.48 |
-43.7% |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? |
Yes |
60 |
0.215 |
$12.84 |
$9.26 |
+259.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
111 |
0.110 |
$12.24 |
$1.97 |
+19.2% |
| Will Adam Kurtz win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
11 |
0.999 |
$11.31 |
$0.50 |
+4.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
17 |
0.590 |
$10.05 |
$0.68 |
+7.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat? |
Yes |
10 |
0.941 |
$9.03 |
$0.06 |
+0.7% |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
Yes |
40 |
0.205 |
$8.29 |
$-6.56 |
-44.2% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
209 |
0.040 |
$8.26 |
$1.15 |
+16.2% |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? |
Yes |
33 |
0.225 |
$7.50 |
$5.16 |
+221.4% |
| Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? |
No |
7 |
0.943 |
$7.05 |
$1.04 |
+17.2% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? |
No |
9 |
0.801 |
$7.00 |
$0.71 |
+11.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.435 |
$6.69 |
$0.69 |
+11.5% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
254 |
0.025 |
$6.45 |
$-0.82 |
-11.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat? |
Yes |
7 |
0.972 |
$6.41 |
$0.34 |
+5.6% |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.987 |
$6.39 |
$0.38 |
+6.3% |
| Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
6 |
0.984 |
$6.36 |
$0.28 |
+4.7% |