surfandturf
0x9f2fe025f84839ca81dd8e0338892605702d2ca8
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$330,250
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$10,949
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
28%
1,516W / 3,825L · 844 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
2,017W / 4,166L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
6,185
across 58 markets · ~107 per market
EV / position
−$6,350.95
avg win $45,574 · loss $83,002
Profit Factor
0.81
$1,412,792 won / $1,743,042 lost
Reward / Risk
0.55
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5,807
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $918,541 · all-time $167,821,162
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
15.5%
2,076W/11,287L
|
83 |
$9,323,799 |
|
⚽ Sports
|
32.1%
80W/169L
|
9 |
$519,791 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
140,001 |
0.535 |
$74,970.32 |
$14,112.76 |
+23.2% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
35,305 |
0.213 |
$7,537.63 |
$-1,870.04 |
-19.9% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
60,000 |
0.095 |
$5,670.02 |
$-216.84 |
-3.7% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
3,300 |
0.966 |
$3,187.80 |
$187.29 |
+6.2% |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
5,630 |
0.004 |
$25.34 |
$1.69 |
+7.1% |