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Trader leaderboard/98132wxc

98132wxc

0x9f2a10f2967c9d63ed36f0880eea5fd7189d3706
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$140
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+1.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
10%
15W / 139L · 63 open
Win Return (30d)
10%
15W / 139L · 63 open
Trades (30d)
217
across 91 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$2.26
avg win $49 · loss $1
Profit Factor
3.51
$196 won / $56 lost
Reward / Risk
50.83
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$15
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $245 · all-time $3,370,225

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 16.2% 32W/165L 122 $23,795
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/16L 18 $613

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

40 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) St. Louis Cardinals 1,128 0.295 $332.81 $-129.74 -28.0%
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes 423 0.685 $289.43 $-10.56 -3.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 349 0.655 $228.48 $-53.09 -18.9%
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes 50 0.335 $16.75 $-6.76 -28.8%
Will Leon Goretzka join AC Milan? No 20 0.835 $16.70 $-0.90 -5.1%
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes 43 0.375 $16.16 $-2.39 -12.9%
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? No 26 0.535 $13.64 $-0.38 -2.7%
California Clinic Funding Proposition No 20 0.660 $13.20 $0.60 +4.8%
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No 20 0.615 $12.30 $-4.50 -26.8%
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 20 0.610 $12.20 $1.40 +13.0%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? Yes 50 0.230 $11.50 $-23.00 -66.7%
Will Hurupay launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 20 0.460 $9.20 $-2.86 -23.7%
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? Yes 20 0.459 $9.17 $-0.83 -8.3%
Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31? Yes 20 0.435 $8.70 $-1.30 -13.0%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? Yes 20 0.430 $8.60 $1.20 +16.2%
Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes 20 0.333 $6.66 $2.22 +50.0%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? Yes 50 0.125 $6.25 $-10.71 -63.1%
California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition No 20 0.215 $4.30 $-3.90 -47.6%
Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election? Yes 40 0.100 $4.00 $-9.60 -70.6%
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? Yes 20 0.190 $3.80 $-3.00 -44.1%
Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 20 0.185 $3.70 $-7.90 -68.1%
Will Craig Greenberg win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election? No 40 0.085 $3.40 $-9.67 -74.0%
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 4 0.745 $2.91 $0.92 +46.1%
Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026? Yes 15 0.180 $2.70 $-0.60 -18.2%
Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election? No 20 0.120 $2.40 $-2.30 -48.9%