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Trader leaderboard/Copezilla

Copezilla

0x9f086ae32344b489a004109f06fced08154273a8
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$351
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$240
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
12W / 10L · 41 open
Win Return (30d)
75%
47W / 16L
Trades (30d)
63
across 13 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$117.00
avg win $22 · loss $186
Profit Factor
0.06
$22 won / $373 lost
Reward / Risk
0.12
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$222
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,654 · all-time $2,575,126

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 39.7% 31W/47L 60 $34,449
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/7L 5 $1,454
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/7L 2 $320
₿ Crypto 1 $288
⚽ Sports 1 $142

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

84 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 21,000 0.790 $16,600.50 $6,100.50 +58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 21,000 0.209 $4,399.50 $-6,100.48 -58.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 7,293 0.545 $3,974.53 $-425.88 -9.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2,500 0.845 $2,112.51 $85.00 +4.2%
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No 1,941 0.945 $1,834.33 $193.17 +11.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 5,067 0.355 $1,798.95 $-791.75 -30.6%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 1,651 0.952 $1,570.87 $101.09 +6.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 5,883 0.245 $1,441.25 $-973.10 -40.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes 5,330 0.239 $1,276.64 $-1,123.46 -46.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 3,266 0.335 $1,093.95 $48.98 +4.7%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 1,100 0.955 $1,049.95 $45.65 +4.5%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes 6,293 0.165 $1,038.40 $154.34 +17.5%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 19,333 0.049 $937.63 $-49.14 -5.0%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? Yes 999 0.845 $844.46 $81.91 +10.7%
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? Yes 3,532 0.225 $794.79 $-632.72 -44.3%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 5,700 0.135 $766.65 $14.25 +1.9%
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,131 0.656 $741.97 $-35.55 -4.6%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 6,400 0.115 $736.00 $-852.97 -53.7%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 5,000 0.144 $722.50 $322.50 +80.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,000 0.710 $710.00 $-19.00 -2.6%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 744 0.935 $695.26 $121.46 +21.2%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No 750 0.885 $663.75 $131.25 +24.6%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 1,000 0.645 $645.00 $145.00 +29.0%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 1,000 0.625 $625.01 $5.00 +0.8%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 650 0.855 $555.75 $55.25 +11.0%