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Trader leaderboard/predictionponyft

predictionponyft

0x9ee0bfa1ea6e81beaf301ff9c5fb0fe76c291006
PnL (30d)
−$10,342
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$162
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-65.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
18%
13W / 58L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
21%
16W / 62L
Trades (30d)
78
across 42 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$295.49
avg win $283 · loss $467
Profit Factor
0.18
$2,261 won / $12,603 lost
Reward / Risk
0.61
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $1,676,422

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 18.3% 13W/58L 42 $20,904
₿ Crypto 1 $5

Open positions

26 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No 980 0.735 $720.59 $220.59 +44.1%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 123 0.886 $108.98 $9.29 +9.3%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 23 0.775 $18.20 $7.40 +68.5%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? No 344 0.034 $11.69 $1.75 +17.6%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 11 0.940 $10.61 $0.67 +6.8%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 34 0.225 $7.61 $-14.17 -65.0%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 15 0.460 $6.88 $1.91 +38.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 6 0.845 $5.43 $0.54 +11.2%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 3 0.935 $2.69 $0.22 +8.7%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 26 0.086 $2.21 $0.22 +11.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 2 0.935 $2.15 $0.13 +6.5%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 2 0.984 $2.00 $0.01 +0.2%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 2 0.925 $2.00 $0.01 +0.5%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes 36 0.055 $1.99 $-7.91 -79.9%
Will New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No 2 0.915 $1.99 $-0.01 -0.5%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes 44 0.045 $1.99 $-2.98 -60.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes 355 0.005 $1.95 $-3.02 -60.7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 9 0.184 $1.61 $-0.43 -21.1%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes 17 0.075 $1.24 $-2.03 -62.0%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 11 0.097 $1.10 $-8.80 -88.9%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes 29 0.037 $1.09 $-4.41 -80.1%
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? Yes 10 0.105 $1.06 $-3.89 -78.6%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 29 0.033 $0.96 $-6.90 -87.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 33 0.022 $0.73 $-1.25 -63.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 23 0.026 $0.62 $-0.32 -33.9%