0x9eb4D182719A46c44C092B5b0Cf41F99129B89b0-1744989177294
0x9eb4d182719a46c44c092b5b0cf41f99129b89b0
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$469
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$204
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+9.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
12W / 0L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
100%
15W / 0L
Trades (30d)
15
across 4 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$234.42
avg win $234
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,141 · all-time $403,168
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
4,040 |
0.865 |
$3,494.82 |
$136.72 |
+4.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
2,410 |
0.968 |
$2,331.68 |
$25.30 |
+1.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.675 |
$1,349.99 |
$177.00 |
+15.1% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
1,383 |
0.786 |
$1,087.77 |
$118.25 |
+12.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
840 |
0.963 |
$808.50 |
$7.98 |
+1.0% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
1,670 |
0.375 |
$626.25 |
$75.15 |
+13.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
2,180 |
0.259 |
$563.53 |
$-16.35 |
-2.8% |