alvaro25011
0x9eae9dc70a6eb5c831a0ac96931c8488431598a5
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$179
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$109
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-7.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
48%
31W / 34L · 33 open
Win Return (30d)
36%
32W / 56L · 10 open
Trades (30d)
98
across 45 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$5.26
avg win $7 · loss $30
Profit Factor
0.47
$156 won / $335 lost
Reward / Risk
0.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $81 · all-time $1,331,425
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Walt Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings? |
Yes |
2 |
0.885 |
$2.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.6% |
| Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings? |
Yes |
4 |
0.455 |
$1.73 |
$-1.27 |
-42.4% |
| Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings? |
Yes |
2 |
0.695 |
$1.07 |
$0.07 |
+6.9% |