NERA
0x9e9ad7b5ca1c0c008b25a0fcfd7ffea62bb15d99
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$25
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$124
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
1W / 0L · 76 open
Win Return (30d)
12%
9W / 68L
Trades (30d)
77
across 5 markets · ~15 per market
EV / position
+$25.06
avg win $25
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,669 · all-time $4,217,957
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? |
No |
2,547 |
0.838 |
$2,134.41 |
$234.94 |
+12.4% |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? |
No |
952 |
0.705 |
$671.37 |
$23.81 |
+3.7% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? |
No |
260 |
0.875 |
$227.50 |
$71.50 |
+45.8% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? |
Anthropic |
250 |
0.820 |
$204.99 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? |
No |
156 |
0.580 |
$90.39 |
$-9.35 |
-9.4% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
63 |
0.977 |
$61.12 |
$0.54 |
+0.9% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
Yes |
122 |
0.125 |
$15.29 |
$-17.74 |
-53.7% |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
144 |
0.002 |
$0.29 |
$-1.87 |
-86.7% |