PnL (30d)

−$16

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$16

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

70%

218W / 94L · 168 open

Win Return (30d)

66%

219W / 113L · 148 open

Trades (30d)

480

across 176 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.24

avg win $0 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.31

$7 won / $24 lost

Reward / Risk

0.08

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	69.9% 218W/94L	176	$763
⚽ Sports	100.0% 1W/0L	4	$15
₿ Crypto	18.8% 3W/13L	4	$15
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/13L	4	$13
🌤 Weather	—	1	$3
🔬 Science	—	1	$3
🏛 Politics	—	1	$23

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	26	0.560	$14.82	$-1.19	-7.4%
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	23	0.550	$12.59	$-1.41	-10.0%
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	47	0.145	$6.76	$-8.88	-56.8%
Will Solana reach $100 in August?	No	6	0.967	$5.95	$-0.05	-0.9%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	10	0.261	$2.65	$-1.36	-33.9%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	30	0.086	$2.55	$0.55	+27.6%
Will Solana dip to $60 in August?	No	2	0.875	$2.02	$0.13	+6.7%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	3	0.675	$2.02	$0.01	+0.7%
Will Solana reach $150 in August?	No	2	0.997	$2.00	$-0.00	-0.1%
Will Solana reach $130 in August?	No	2	0.989	$1.99	$-0.01	-0.7%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	3	0.560	$1.78	$-0.22	-11.1%