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Trader leaderboard/DREAMBIG.

DREAMBIG.

0x9e8ecc4cb3c4e48f544cba2fbbb252a6a65e8db8
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,765
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$119
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+11.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
472W / 325L · 52 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
505W / 343L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
849
across 177 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$10.96
avg win $39 · loss $32
Profit Factor
1.87
$3,804 won / $2,039 lost
Reward / Risk
1.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$554
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $22,152 · all-time $1,808,139

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 66.2% 1,867W/954L 737 $109,797
🎬 Culture 55.1% 124W/101L 88 $8,838
🏛 Politics 56.5% 122W/94L 63 $5,116
🤖 Tech 12.5% 1W/7L 12 $540
⚽ Sports 4 $2,650

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

178 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 58,000 0.999 $57,913.00 $28,913.00 +99.7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 38,000 0.883 $33,573.00 $14,573.00 +76.7%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 15,000 0.978 $14,662.50 $7,162.50 +95.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 38,000 0.117 $4,427.00 $-14,573.00 -76.7%
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 2,034 0.410 $833.85 $24.87 +3.1%
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No 1,943 0.350 $679.97 $-8.45 -1.2%
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No 1,000 0.570 $569.90 $-113.10 -16.6%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 500 0.905 $452.50 $0.50 +0.1%
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 500 0.730 $365.00 $70.00 +23.7%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 15,000 0.022 $337.50 $-7,162.50 -95.5%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 506 0.660 $333.78 $7.76 +2.4%
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? Yes 485 0.660 $320.10 $38.85 +13.8%
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? Yes 309 0.910 $280.89 $48.34 +20.8%
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 300 0.895 $268.50 $4.50 +1.7%
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No 295 0.855 $252.61 $81.25 +47.4%
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 556 0.445 $247.26 $131.16 +113.0%
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026? No 240 0.996 $239.04 $12.28 +5.4%
Will Zendaya and Robert Pattinson star in another film together announced in 2026? Yes 434 0.495 $214.84 $167.44 +353.2%
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 500 0.415 $207.50 $22.50 +12.2%
Trump on $250 bill this year? No 200 0.973 $194.50 $12.50 +6.9%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU? No 200 0.970 $194.00 $-2.50 -1.3%
Will Donald Trump's tie be another color? Yes 808 0.240 $193.98 $22.92 +13.4%
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? Yes 556 0.295 $164.10 $-69.24 -29.7%
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? No 200 0.771 $154.30 $-23.70 -13.3%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? Yes 222 0.691 $153.58 $48.77 +46.5%