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Trader leaderboard/Frieren68

Frieren68

0x9e455413b57a792dfd92032f9a7a9fb282803662
PnL (30d)
+$330
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$360
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
72%
165W / 63L · 52 open
Win Return (30d)
69%
192W / 86L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
280
across 92 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$5.24
avg win $36 · loss $72
Profit Factor
1.26
$1,618 won / $1,288 lost
Reward / Risk
0.50
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$519
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,836 · all-time $775,511

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.4% 165W/63L 92 $33,459
💵 Economy 16.7% 1W/5L 12 $4,793
₿ Crypto 20.0% 1W/4L 10 $3,566
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/3L 6 $1,381
🤖 Tech 1 $1,059

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

39 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No 873 0.905 $789.96 $49.96 +6.8%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 579 0.853 $493.65 $65.81 +15.4%
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 585 0.795 $465.27 $205.42 +79.1%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 706 0.635 $448.24 $88.24 +24.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? No 654 0.675 $441.28 $-68.72 -13.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 469 0.845 $396.01 $233.49 +143.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 380 0.935 $355.25 $72.58 +25.7%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 409 0.855 $349.53 $33.16 +10.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? No 308 0.996 $306.36 $6.36 +2.1%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? No 310 0.966 $299.23 $-0.77 -0.3%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? No 350 0.850 $297.28 $-2.72 -0.9%
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No 411 0.710 $291.78 $-8.22 -2.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? No 442 0.635 $280.37 $105.37 +60.2%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 325 0.855 $278.07 $128.07 +85.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No 476 0.540 $257.14 $57.14 +28.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? No 746 0.330 $246.11 $-233.59 -48.7%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? No 268 0.885 $236.96 $43.98 +22.8%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? No 270 0.860 $232.43 $32.43 +16.2%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No 271 0.825 $223.49 $58.70 +35.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? No 206 0.993 $204.32 $4.32 +2.2%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? No 206 0.988 $203.82 $3.82 +1.9%
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No 215 0.935 $201.08 $1.08 +0.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? No 215 0.934 $200.66 $0.66 +0.3%
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No 236 0.845 $199.15 $24.98 +14.3%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? No 225 0.750 $168.54 $-31.46 -15.7%