PnL (30d)

−$13

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

61%

11W / 7L · 64 open

Win Return (30d)

63%

52W / 30L

Trades (30d)

82

across 17 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$3.24

avg win $1 · loss $8

Profit Factor

0.16

$2 won / $15 lost

Reward / Risk

0.16

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	61.1% 11W/7L	17	$338
🏛 Politics	—	2	$12
💵 Economy	—	2	$44

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	Yes	98	0.670	$65.83	$-2.00	-2.9%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	72	0.885	$63.97	$0.84	+1.3%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	57	0.865	$48.92	$1.80	+3.8%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	30	0.795	$23.80	$11.99	+101.4%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	72	0.298	$21.53	$1.56	+7.8%
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	Yes	39	0.465	$18.22	$2.78	+18.0%
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	Yes	36	0.305	$10.89	$-0.04	-0.4%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	19	0.515	$9.57	$0.09	+1.0%
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	7	0.615	$4.30	$-0.24	-5.4%
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?	Yes	12	0.245	$2.96	$-1.15	-27.9%
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	7	0.210	$1.49	$0.14	+10.5%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	No	4	0.330	$1.23	$0.07	+6.4%
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	4	0.165	$0.71	$-0.33	-31.3%