| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
158,167 |
0.835 |
$132,069.04 |
$15,452.08 |
+13.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
75,094 |
0.785 |
$58,948.81 |
$25,199.60 |
+74.7% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
52,574 |
0.885 |
$46,527.56 |
$21,690.15 |
+87.3% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
44,958 |
0.823 |
$36,978.29 |
$34,753.93 |
+1562.4% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
36,049 |
0.865 |
$31,182.43 |
$14,814.57 |
+90.5% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
29,988 |
0.964 |
$28,893.86 |
$4,749.15 |
+19.7% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
30,884 |
0.925 |
$28,567.54 |
$747.14 |
+2.7% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
40,628 |
0.375 |
$15,235.65 |
$1,333.95 |
+9.6% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
296,646 |
0.049 |
$14,535.64 |
$3,164.02 |
+27.8% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
28,830 |
0.397 |
$11,445.39 |
$2,012.80 |
+21.3% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
No |
12,176 |
0.825 |
$10,045.45 |
$1,942.85 |
+24.0% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
45,822 |
0.209 |
$9,599.65 |
$1,277.69 |
+15.4% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
15,000 |
0.625 |
$9,374.99 |
$-525.00 |
-5.3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
9,366 |
0.945 |
$8,851.10 |
$1,264.64 |
+16.7% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
61,493 |
0.143 |
$8,824.23 |
$6,680.41 |
+311.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
11,453 |
0.745 |
$8,532.59 |
$80.57 |
+1.0% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
Yes |
13,855 |
0.615 |
$8,520.83 |
$1,729.63 |
+25.5% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? |
No |
8,707 |
0.972 |
$8,459.09 |
$5,039.93 |
+147.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
16,199 |
0.515 |
$8,342.63 |
$1,350.14 |
+19.3% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
61,629 |
0.135 |
$8,289.04 |
$2,354.33 |
+39.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
117,387 |
0.065 |
$7,630.12 |
$-15,969.73 |
-67.7% |
| Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? |
No |
11,503 |
0.635 |
$7,304.41 |
$3,085.82 |
+73.1% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
7,665 |
0.948 |
$7,266.44 |
$700.08 |
+10.7% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
7,500 |
0.854 |
$6,401.25 |
$18.75 |
+0.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
7,500 |
0.825 |
$6,187.49 |
$1,312.50 |
+26.9% |