PnL (30d)

−$2,367

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$46

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-21.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

11%

123W / 996L · 88 open

Win Return (30d)

12%

138W / 1,060L · 9 open

Trades (30d)

1,207

across 228 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$11.95

avg win $48 · loss $22

Profit Factor

0.37

$1,395 won / $3,762 lost

Reward / Risk

2.16

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,645

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	11.0% 123W/996L	228	$20,067
🏛 Politics	46.0% 23W/27L	8	$1,308
💵 Economy	13.0% 3W/20L	5	$804
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/1L	4	$17
🎬 Culture	—	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	34	0.028	$0.95	$-0.05	-5.2%
Will Kawhi play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	Yes	1,529	0.001	$0.76	$-5.23	-87.3%
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	5	0.135	$0.71	$-0.29	-29.4%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	8	0.065	$0.54	$-0.46	-45.8%
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?	Yes	50	0.009	$0.48	$-0.52	-52.5%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	13	0.019	$0.25	$-0.36	-59.4%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	3	0.011	$0.03	$-0.02	-36.1%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?	Yes	1	0.025	$0.03	$0.02	+154.0%