bear-bees
0x9d5431fa0f9d91b80dca9e5eaa02c609364fc43d
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Trades (30d)
2
across 1 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $19,921 · all-time $323,632
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
18,552 |
0.962 |
$17,846.60 |
$2.49 |
+0.0% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
8,869 |
0.955 |
$8,469.84 |
$58.06 |
+0.7% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
4,872 |
0.957 |
$4,660.33 |
$-2.44 |
-0.1% |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.955 |
$1,910.00 |
$250.00 |
+15.1% |
| Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? |
No |
500 |
0.963 |
$481.25 |
$16.25 |
+3.5% |