PnL (30d)

−$203

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$13

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-32.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

45%

5W / 6L · 11 open

Win Return (30d)

32%

7W / 15L

Trades (30d)

22

across 10 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$40.62

avg win $22 · loss $293

Profit Factor

0.31

$90 won / $293 lost

Reward / Risk

0.08

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$293

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	45.5% 5W/6L	10	$1,132
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/6L	3	$364
🌤 Weather	—	2	$319
🔬 Science	—	2	$319
🏛 Politics	—	1	$100

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	308	0.930	$286.22	$43.57	+18.0%
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	204	0.555	$113.27	$13.27	+13.3%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	1	0.350	$0.35	$-0.24	-40.7%