| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
502 |
0.980 |
$491.57 |
$3.91 |
+0.8% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
438 |
0.823 |
$360.14 |
$6.76 |
+1.9% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
332 |
0.924 |
$306.92 |
$4.96 |
+1.6% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
250 |
0.875 |
$219.03 |
$4.68 |
+2.2% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
172 |
0.954 |
$164.14 |
$-1.12 |
-0.7% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
185 |
0.865 |
$159.72 |
$-8.07 |
-4.8% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
165 |
0.904 |
$149.03 |
$1.13 |
+0.8% |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
126 |
0.930 |
$117.30 |
$2.23 |
+1.9% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
119 |
0.935 |
$110.82 |
$-0.09 |
-0.1% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
110 |
0.745 |
$81.80 |
$-1.73 |
-2.1% |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
84 |
0.947 |
$79.80 |
$-0.15 |
-0.2% |
| Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
71 |
0.971 |
$69.35 |
$1.36 |
+2.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
98 |
0.675 |
$66.05 |
$6.91 |
+11.7% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? |
No |
73 |
0.875 |
$64.11 |
$0.03 |
+0.1% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
61 |
0.914 |
$55.90 |
$-0.22 |
-0.4% |
| Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections? |
Yes |
54 |
0.969 |
$52.31 |
$1.40 |
+2.7% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
48 |
0.966 |
$46.31 |
$-0.16 |
-0.3% |
| Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election? |
Yes |
48 |
0.965 |
$46.21 |
$-0.25 |
-0.5% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
49 |
0.945 |
$46.19 |
$0.02 |
+0.1% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
56 |
0.702 |
$39.63 |
$0.52 |
+1.3% |
| Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? |
No |
42 |
0.871 |
$36.88 |
$-2.67 |
-6.8% |
| Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
39 |
0.925 |
$36.37 |
$0.59 |
+1.6% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
36 |
0.866 |
$31.50 |
$-0.24 |
-0.8% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
30 |
0.970 |
$29.56 |
$0.04 |
+0.1% |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
29 |
0.994 |
$28.53 |
$0.11 |
+0.4% |