| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
4,600 |
0.963 |
$4,427.49 |
$150.77 |
+3.5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
2,002 |
0.961 |
$1,922.44 |
$54.04 |
+2.9% |
| Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
2,140 |
0.650 |
$1,390.72 |
$-84.48 |
-5.7% |
| Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? |
No |
1,405 |
0.986 |
$1,384.87 |
$53.97 |
+4.1% |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? |
No |
1,300 |
0.962 |
$1,249.63 |
$105.92 |
+9.3% |
| UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? |
No |
975 |
0.961 |
$936.53 |
$67.00 |
+7.7% |
| Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
750 |
0.900 |
$675.00 |
$62.31 |
+10.2% |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027? |
No |
771 |
0.875 |
$674.55 |
$45.38 |
+7.2% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
750 |
0.865 |
$648.74 |
$-11.25 |
-1.7% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
No |
750 |
0.861 |
$645.38 |
$4.12 |
+0.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
800 |
0.745 |
$595.97 |
$110.05 |
+22.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
750 |
0.675 |
$506.24 |
$51.25 |
+11.3% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
500 |
0.935 |
$467.50 |
$57.50 |
+14.0% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.915 |
$457.50 |
$17.50 |
+4.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
1,700 |
0.260 |
$441.16 |
$-140.79 |
-24.2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
550 |
0.755 |
$415.06 |
$90.37 |
+27.8% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.255 |
$382.54 |
$70.96 |
+22.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
375 |
0.935 |
$350.63 |
$99.38 |
+39.6% |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? |
Yes |
367 |
0.922 |
$338.45 |
$114.32 |
+51.0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
500 |
0.675 |
$337.48 |
$37.50 |
+12.5% |
| Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
341 |
0.961 |
$328.01 |
$65.57 |
+25.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
375 |
0.835 |
$313.27 |
$-5.63 |
-1.8% |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? |
No |
261 |
0.974 |
$253.93 |
$4.57 |
+1.8% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
375 |
0.660 |
$247.51 |
$-8.44 |
-3.3% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
250 |
0.961 |
$240.12 |
$14.38 |
+6.4% |