| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
14,815 |
0.815 |
$12,072.92 |
$2,176.04 |
+22.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
18,336 |
0.455 |
$8,342.80 |
$-815.69 |
-8.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
9,134 |
0.885 |
$8,083.71 |
$705.14 |
+9.6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
9,400 |
0.815 |
$7,660.02 |
$20.13 |
+0.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
8,323 |
0.775 |
$6,450.06 |
$387.78 |
+6.4% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
6,944 |
0.745 |
$5,173.19 |
$1,555.36 |
+43.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
8,000 |
0.615 |
$4,919.96 |
$-509.92 |
-9.4% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? |
No |
6,465 |
0.735 |
$4,751.86 |
$643.26 |
+15.7% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
13,549 |
0.278 |
$3,759.93 |
$1,930.15 |
+105.5% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
3,700 |
0.940 |
$3,477.99 |
$516.01 |
+17.4% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.790 |
$2,370.00 |
$120.00 |
+5.3% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
3,141 |
0.710 |
$2,230.07 |
$534.97 |
+31.6% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
14,807 |
0.135 |
$1,991.49 |
$836.59 |
+72.4% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
Yes |
2,540 |
0.745 |
$1,892.46 |
$305.17 |
+19.2% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
18,000 |
0.088 |
$1,593.00 |
$695.79 |
+77.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3,300 |
0.345 |
$1,138.17 |
$73.18 |
+6.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
2,800 |
0.370 |
$1,035.98 |
$-400.98 |
-27.9% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,637 |
0.375 |
$988.95 |
$-144.90 |
-12.8% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
11,000 |
0.085 |
$935.00 |
$-114.97 |
-10.9% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? |
No |
2,200 |
0.415 |
$913.00 |
$-209.00 |
-18.6% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
1,203 |
0.740 |
$889.94 |
$666.13 |
+297.6% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
935 |
0.930 |
$870.14 |
$68.73 |
+8.6% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
18,700 |
0.044 |
$832.15 |
$-227.50 |
-21.5% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
800 |
0.975 |
$780.00 |
$304.00 |
+63.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
Yes |
1,200 |
0.485 |
$582.00 |
$6.00 |
+1.0% |