PnL (30d)

−$3,523

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$378

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-6.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

55%

350W / 291L · 40 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

370W / 304L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

681

across 174 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$22.73

avg win $139 · loss $191

Profit Factor

0.76

$11,015 won / $14,538 lost

Reward / Risk

0.73

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2,040

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	54.6% 350W/291L	174	$71,007
⚽ Sports	46.0% 128W/150L	71	$26,938
₿ Crypto	100.0% 1W/0L	3	$134
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	3	$134

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	3,659	0.835	$3,055.02	$354.44	+13.1%
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	3,202	0.598	$1,914.82	$-539.98	-22.0%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	2,029	0.915	$1,856.32	$122.44	+7.1%
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	910	0.919	$836.29	$53.69	+6.9%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	876	0.785	$687.62	$131.72	+23.7%
Will KIWOOM DRX Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?	No	509	0.954	$485.32	$22.14	+4.8%
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	542	0.805	$436.01	$105.17	+31.8%
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins	Natus Vincere	509	0.625	$318.39	$-2.55	-0.8%
Will NRG Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?	Yes	300	0.930	$279.00	$11.00	+4.1%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	290	0.820	$237.56	$57.94	+32.3%
Will T1 Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?	No	248	0.770	$190.94	$128.95	+208.0%
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	297	0.595	$176.63	$-54.92	-23.7%
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	1,311	0.115	$150.75	$-985.65	-86.7%
Will FULL SENSE Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?	No	234	0.600	$140.41	$-4.88	-3.4%
Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?	No	164	0.735	$120.56	$-2.15	-1.7%
Will BBL Esports Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?	Yes	200	0.595	$119.00	$31.00	+35.2%
Will DetonatioN FocusMe Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?	No	100	0.800	$80.00	$-14.00	-14.9%
Will Sentinels Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?	No	31	0.835	$25.63	$8.75	+51.8%
Will MIBR Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?	Yes	201	0.100	$20.09	$-14.06	-41.2%
Will PCIFIC Esports Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?	No	20	0.955	$19.10	$0.30	+1.6%
Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins	Enterprise Esports	36	0.330	$11.88	$0.00	+0.0%