PnL (30d)

+$502

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$40

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+127.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

82%

28W / 6L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

72%

28W / 11L

Trades (30d)

39

across 14 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$45.63

avg win $89 · loss $31

Profit Factor

5.07

$625 won / $123 lost

Reward / Risk

2.90

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$327

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	82.4% 28W/6L	14	$1,241
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	3	$70
🎬 Culture	100.0% 1W/0L	3	$70

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	363	0.018	$6.71	$-3.29	-32.9%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	125	0.029	$3.69	$-15.06	-80.3%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	136	0.002	$0.20	$-9.80	-98.0%