| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? |
No |
983 |
0.956 |
$939.38 |
$340.87 |
+57.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
1,040 |
0.816 |
$848.12 |
$102.12 |
+13.7% |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? |
No |
1,020 |
0.795 |
$811.41 |
$38.25 |
+4.9% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6,946 |
0.115 |
$798.82 |
$-5,268.72 |
-86.8% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,020 |
0.355 |
$717.10 |
$232.31 |
+47.9% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,070 |
0.655 |
$700.85 |
$-90.35 |
-11.4% |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next? |
No |
520 |
0.998 |
$518.70 |
$20.54 |
+4.1% |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? |
Yes |
1,674 |
0.260 |
$435.32 |
$-459.69 |
-51.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
450 |
0.615 |
$276.75 |
$-104.25 |
-27.4% |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
No |
250 |
0.982 |
$245.50 |
$7.72 |
+3.2% |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? |
No |
196 |
0.977 |
$191.84 |
$15.02 |
+8.5% |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? |
Yes |
260 |
0.555 |
$144.30 |
$-57.73 |
-28.6% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
Yes |
150 |
0.925 |
$138.75 |
$-1.57 |
-1.1% |
| Will FIFA Sell Equity in the World Cup in 2026? |
No |
140 |
0.981 |
$137.20 |
$-0.56 |
-0.4% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
No |
135 |
0.934 |
$126.10 |
$30.24 |
+31.5% |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? |
Yes |
132 |
0.954 |
$125.92 |
$27.71 |
+28.2% |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
350 |
0.350 |
$122.38 |
$-190.81 |
-60.9% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 3, 2026? |
Yes |
220 |
0.500 |
$109.95 |
$-41.90 |
-27.6% |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.990 |
$99.00 |
$8.00 |
+8.8% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? |
No |
104 |
0.949 |
$98.77 |
$60.18 |
+156.0% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.974 |
$97.35 |
$22.30 |
+29.7% |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B? |
No |
100 |
0.965 |
$96.50 |
$0.55 |
+0.6% |
| Pro Football: A.J. Brown to join Patriots by regular season start? |
Yes |
100 |
0.956 |
$95.60 |
$-3.40 |
-3.4% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.942 |
$94.15 |
$20.15 |
+27.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.875 |
$87.50 |
$12.50 |
+16.7% |