PnL (30d)

−$40

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$15

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-14.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 1L · 30 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

13W / 18L

Trades (30d)

31

across 16 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$40.25

· loss $40

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $40 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	0.0% 0W/2L	37	$832
🎬 Culture	—	2	$30
₿ Crypto	—	2	$44
💵 Economy	—	1	$23
🏛 Politics	—	1	$56

Open positions

102 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	100	0.375	$37.50	$8.15	+27.8%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	49	0.745	$36.86	$1.37	+3.8%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	181	0.155	$28.02	$-1.85	-6.2%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	70	0.395	$27.65	$4.55	+19.7%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	155	0.170	$26.34	$-0.78	-2.9%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	90	0.285	$25.64	$-1.51	-5.6%
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	30	0.835	$25.05	$1.35	+5.7%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	195	0.128	$24.96	$-6.25	-20.0%
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	Yes	31	0.795	$24.64	$-0.96	-3.8%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	30	0.815	$24.45	$0.75	+3.2%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	31	0.715	$22.52	$-1.52	-6.3%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	69	0.325	$22.43	$-1.03	-4.4%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	85	0.255	$21.68	$-1.61	-6.9%
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	69	0.305	$21.18	$-2.38	-10.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?	No	70	0.295	$20.65	$-0.35	-1.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	80	0.245	$19.60	$-3.60	-15.5%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	38	0.515	$19.52	$-6.50	-25.0%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	105	0.175	$18.43	$-6.72	-26.7%
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	80	0.230	$18.40	$-2.40	-11.5%
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	85	0.215	$18.27	$-5.57	-23.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	111	0.165	$18.27	$-9.58	-34.4%
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	149	0.120	$17.90	$-6.82	-27.6%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	90	0.185	$16.65	$-7.65	-31.5%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	158	0.101	$15.83	$-9.88	-38.4%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	80	0.189	$15.08	$-7.48	-33.2%