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Trader

0x9afc9741f1d75a07f757e951194ef303a5b3314b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$216
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$119
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-12.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
18%
54W / 250L · 106 open
Win Return (30d)
15%
63W / 347L
Trades (30d)
410
across 84 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$3.54
avg win $6 · loss $17
Profit Factor
0.49
$211 won / $427 lost
Reward / Risk
0.34
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$189
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $17,533 · all-time $139,203

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.2% 466W/693L 571 $14,634
🏛 Politics 0.4% 1W/231L 42 $522
⚽ Sports 10.7% 3W/25L 30 $489
🎬 Culture 0.7% 1W/141L 21 $383
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/39L 14 $234
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/34L 12 $206
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $30

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

83 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-01? Yes 334 0.107 $35.71 $12.35 +52.9%
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%? No 34 1.000 $33.52 $3.34 +11.1%
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? No 32 1.000 $32.44 $2.26 +7.5%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 205 0.158 $32.29 $26.55 +462.5%
Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 15–20%? No 28 1.000 $27.91 $0.88 +3.3%
Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 10–15%? No 28 1.000 $27.90 $0.88 +3.3%
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 5? Yes 130 0.205 $26.69 $16.27 +156.2%
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%? No 24 0.964 $22.73 $1.51 +7.1%
Will DeVante R. Hill be the TN-05 Democratic nominee? Yes 586 0.025 $14.64 $6.44 +78.6%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 100 0.135 $13.50 $5.50 +68.8%
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%? Yes 389 0.029 $11.49 $-0.81 -6.6%
Will KÍ win on 2026-08-06? Yes 185 0.061 $11.29 $2.04 +22.0%
Will Modena FC win on 2026-08-08? Yes 457 0.024 $10.97 $0.46 +4.3%
Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? No 11 1.000 $10.77 $0.79 +7.9%
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-09? Yes 159 0.065 $10.30 $-0.79 -7.1%
Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? No 10 1.000 $10.26 $0.28 +2.8%
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%? Yes 320 0.032 $10.25 $-0.87 -7.9%
Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? No 10 0.985 $10.04 $0.05 +0.5%
Will Paide Linnameeskond win on 2026-08-06? Yes 130 0.075 $9.76 $-0.65 -6.2%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 87 0.108 $9.43 $5.06 +116.0%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-08? Yes 229 0.041 $9.27 $-2.18 -19.0%
Will Maria Brewer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? Yes 136 0.065 $8.83 $0.36 +4.3%
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%? Yes 154 0.057 $8.78 $-2.06 -19.0%
Will SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk end in a draw? Yes 103 0.080 $8.22 $-2.06 -20.0%
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-08? Yes 108 0.075 $8.13 $-2.71 -25.0%