PnL (30d)

−$1,411

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$151

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-53.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

5%

2W / 39L · 49 open

Win Return (30d)

26%

23W / 67L

Trades (30d)

90

across 45 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$50.39

avg win $174 · loss $68

Profit Factor

0.20

$348 won / $1,759 lost

Reward / Risk

2.57

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	4.9% 2W/39L	45	$2,651
🏛 Politics	—	10	$567
🎬 Culture	—	10	$567

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	330	0.966	$318.73	$173.43	+119.4%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	324	0.415	$134.67	$69.77	+107.5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	561	0.170	$95.41	$1.44	+1.5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	515	0.175	$90.15	$-2.17	-2.3%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	374	0.145	$54.28	$-1.95	-3.5%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	400	0.125	$50.00	$-6.00	-10.7%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	200	0.245	$49.00	$9.00	+22.5%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	202	0.177	$35.90	$-0.10	-0.3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	200	0.165	$33.00	$1.00	+3.1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	200	0.165	$33.00	$-1.11	-3.3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	200	0.155	$31.00	$-1.00	-3.1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	200	0.155	$31.00	$1.13	+3.8%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	200	0.085	$17.00	$-11.43	-40.2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	400	0.032	$12.60	$-40.64	-76.3%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	400	0.021	$8.20	$-29.17	-78.1%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	222	0.003	$0.55	$-4.25	-88.5%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	700	0.001	$0.35	$-2.85	-89.1%