strider-
0x997d116630ec7575f81798bf6267096801de5d15
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$101
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$95
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
17%
4W / 20L · 330 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
230W / 98L · 26 open
Trades (30d)
354
across 13 markets · ~27 per market
EV / position
−$25.13
avg win $291 · loss $341
Profit Factor
0.85
$582 won / $683 lost
Reward / Risk
0.85
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,692 · all-time $2,522,416
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
57,000 |
0.816 |
$46,483.50 |
$17,983.50 |
+63.1% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
12,286 |
0.940 |
$11,543.04 |
$1,784.11 |
+18.3% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
57,000 |
0.184 |
$10,516.50 |
$-17,983.50 |
-63.1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
10,000 |
0.982 |
$9,815.00 |
$426.12 |
+4.5% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
9,551 |
0.957 |
$9,135.93 |
$550.63 |
+6.4% |
| Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06? |
No |
6,446 |
0.992 |
$6,394.73 |
$607.52 |
+10.5% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
1,840 |
0.962 |
$1,769.06 |
$72.35 |
+4.3% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? |
Yes |
169 |
0.320 |
$53.95 |
$16.86 |
+45.5% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
41 |
0.005 |
$0.20 |
$-12.78 |
-98.4% |