| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,484 |
0.845 |
$1,253.70 |
$28.46 |
+2.3% |
| Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? |
No |
431 |
0.725 |
$312.43 |
$-3.34 |
-1.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
300 |
0.969 |
$290.70 |
$1.50 |
+0.5% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
300 |
0.945 |
$283.50 |
$13.50 |
+5.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
295 |
0.959 |
$282.76 |
$7.41 |
+2.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.675 |
$269.99 |
$1.00 |
+0.4% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
354 |
0.760 |
$268.97 |
$10.62 |
+4.1% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
300 |
0.875 |
$262.50 |
$-1.50 |
-0.6% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? |
No |
295 |
0.885 |
$261.29 |
$13.29 |
+5.4% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? |
No |
250 |
0.875 |
$218.75 |
$8.75 |
+4.2% |
| Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? |
Yes |
250 |
0.875 |
$218.75 |
$-0.05 |
-0.0% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
200 |
0.945 |
$189.00 |
$11.00 |
+6.2% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
200 |
0.940 |
$188.00 |
$12.00 |
+6.8% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? |
Yes |
400 |
0.425 |
$170.00 |
$-75.00 |
-30.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.835 |
$167.00 |
$13.00 |
+8.4% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? |
Yes |
209 |
0.690 |
$144.32 |
$-0.02 |
-0.0% |
| Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? |
No |
151 |
0.951 |
$143.32 |
$10.47 |
+7.9% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
Yes |
190 |
0.715 |
$135.49 |
$3.84 |
+2.9% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.655 |
$131.00 |
$7.00 |
+5.6% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
300 |
0.356 |
$106.95 |
$-6.35 |
-5.6% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
110 |
0.915 |
$100.65 |
$0.55 |
+0.5% |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.935 |
$93.50 |
$3.50 |
+3.9% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
710 |
0.117 |
$82.71 |
$-20.20 |
-19.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? |
Yes |
402 |
0.205 |
$82.48 |
$-57.91 |
-41.2% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
81 |
0.970 |
$79.05 |
$3.75 |
+5.0% |