| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
25 |
0.835 |
$20.88 |
$2.52 |
+13.8% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
10 |
0.905 |
$9.05 |
$1.80 |
+24.8% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.853 |
$8.53 |
$1.57 |
+22.7% |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
Yes |
6 |
0.993 |
$5.96 |
$0.13 |
+2.2% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
5 |
0.987 |
$4.93 |
$0.03 |
+0.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Yes |
5 |
0.968 |
$4.84 |
$0.21 |
+4.5% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.948 |
$4.74 |
$0.29 |
+6.5% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.940 |
$4.70 |
$0.20 |
+4.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.935 |
$4.67 |
$0.57 |
+14.0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.925 |
$4.62 |
$0.02 |
+0.5% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.855 |
$4.28 |
$0.93 |
+27.6% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.823 |
$4.11 |
$0.90 |
+27.9% |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.795 |
$3.98 |
$0.19 |
+4.9% |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison? |
No |
4 |
0.870 |
$3.44 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.680 |
$3.40 |
$0.15 |
+4.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
5 |
0.675 |
$3.38 |
$-0.22 |
-6.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.645 |
$3.23 |
$0.17 |
+5.7% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.356 |
$1.78 |
$-0.06 |
-3.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.259 |
$1.29 |
$-0.93 |
-41.8% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.605 |
$0.99 |
$-0.01 |
-0.8% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5 |
0.146 |
$0.73 |
$0.13 |
+21.1% |