PnL (30d)

+$2,409

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$221

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+4.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

59%

329W / 225L · 190 open

Win Return (30d)

63%

460W / 275L · 9 open

Trades (30d)

744

across 68 markets · ~11 per market

EV / position

+$44.61

avg win $116 · loss $39

Profit Factor

3.50

$3,371 won / $963 lost

Reward / Risk

3.02

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$10

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	59.4% 329W/225L	68	$118,537
🏛 Politics	96.4% 27W/1L	6	$15,969
💵 Economy	75.0% 3W/1L	2	$16
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	2,449	0.215	$526.47	$-265.20	-33.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	1,000	0.165	$165.00	$-15.00	-8.3%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	110	0.125	$13.75	$-1.45	-9.5%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	250	0.003	$0.62	$-20.12	-97.0%