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Trader leaderboard/GoodOldBogan

GoodOldBogan

0x98d973b69565d3564b39f364cc1bf73a62db2c8c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$28
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
100%
6W / 0L
Trades (30d)
6
across 4 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $112 · all-time $828,555

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 4 $554
🏛 Politics 2 $250

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No 679 0.907 $615.51 $5.51 +0.9%
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No 628 0.903 $567.62 $17.96 +3.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 670 0.835 $559.39 $55.69 +11.1%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 565 0.935 $528.27 $78.27 +17.4%
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No 332 0.855 $283.45 $42.81 +17.8%
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? No 142 0.938 $133.56 $4.24 +3.3%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 109 0.957 $104.08 $4.08 +4.1%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No 70 0.885 $62.24 $17.52 +39.2%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No 43 0.956 $41.57 $1.57 +3.9%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 55 0.675 $36.99 $-3.01 -7.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 22 0.945 $21.25 $1.25 +6.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 20 0.645 $13.16 $3.16 +31.6%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 12 0.935 $11.14 $1.14 +11.4%
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No 5 0.966 $5.27 $0.27 +5.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 14 0.184 $2.64 $-2.36 -47.3%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 2 0.865 $1.73 $0.15 +9.3%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 1 0.963 $1.08 $0.08 +8.1%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 1 0.981 $0.98 $0.02 +2.4%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 1 0.945 $0.95 $0.27 +38.8%
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No 1 0.895 $0.90 $0.36 +65.1%