| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? |
Yes |
136 |
0.385 |
$52.55 |
$47.84 |
+1016.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
19 |
0.994 |
$18.89 |
$-0.02 |
-0.1% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
19 |
0.955 |
$18.14 |
$-0.09 |
-0.5% |
| Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
19 |
0.890 |
$16.91 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? |
Yes |
37 |
0.415 |
$15.56 |
$13.35 |
+605.5% |
| Will Kaela Berg be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? |
Yes |
186 |
0.043 |
$7.90 |
$-1.88 |
-19.2% |
| Will Alyssa Thomas have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? |
Yes |
10 |
0.700 |
$7.00 |
$6.66 |
+1930.0% |
| Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? |
Yes |
55 |
0.085 |
$4.67 |
$3.01 |
+180.5% |
| Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat? |
Yes |
69 |
0.062 |
$4.30 |
$-7.17 |
-62.5% |
| Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? |
Yes |
5 |
0.870 |
$4.30 |
$4.06 |
+1727.0% |
| Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
26 |
0.140 |
$3.70 |
$1.30 |
+54.0% |
| Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? |
Yes |
14 |
0.260 |
$3.64 |
$3.34 |
+1122.0% |
| Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
26 |
0.135 |
$3.57 |
$1.16 |
+48.5% |
| Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
26 |
0.135 |
$3.57 |
$1.16 |
+48.5% |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%? |
Yes |
174 |
0.019 |
$3.39 |
$-15.92 |
-82.5% |
| Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? |
Yes |
13 |
0.239 |
$3.21 |
$-1.26 |
-28.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat? |
Yes |
4 |
0.885 |
$3.10 |
$2.66 |
+608.0% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
19 |
0.145 |
$2.75 |
$0.09 |
+3.6% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.275 |
$2.75 |
$2.08 |
+311.7% |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.6% and 1.8%? |
Yes |
87 |
0.032 |
$2.75 |
$-6.94 |
-71.7% |
| Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
4 |
0.665 |
$2.71 |
$2.49 |
+1097.0% |
| Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? |
Yes |
10 |
0.270 |
$2.70 |
$2.36 |
+683.0% |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 15? |
Yes |
160 |
0.016 |
$2.56 |
$-7.44 |
-74.4% |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? |
Yes |
11 |
0.220 |
$2.38 |
$2.06 |
+626.0% |
| Will Damares Alves be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro? |
Yes |
6 |
0.360 |
$2.02 |
$1.88 |
+1340.0% |