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Trader leaderboard/dsosods

dsosods

0x9868325cf3760b5256450e561d4ab6095943907e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$7
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
46%
266W / 313L · 285 open
Win Return (30d)
46%
393W / 463L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
864
across 84 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
−$0.20
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.69
$16 won / $23 lost
Reward / Risk
1.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$6
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,767 · all-time $1,912,217

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.9% 1,958W/1,675L 409 $7,086
🏛 Politics 83.7% 211W/41L 33 $469
💵 Economy 17.8% 13W/60L 16 $176
🎬 Culture 93.4% 185W/13L 14 $391
₿ Crypto 24.5% 13W/40L 6 $125
⚽ Sports 1 $4
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/4L 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

56 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 4 1.000 $4.35 $2.73 +169.4%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes 3 0.770 $2.33 $0.48 +26.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat? No 6 0.335 $2.15 $0.53 +32.6%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No 2 0.986 $2.03 $1.54 +315.2%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat? No 8 0.235 $1.88 $-0.28 -12.9%
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No 2 0.705 $1.72 $0.65 +60.2%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? Yes 7 0.230 $1.52 $-0.26 -14.7%
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? Yes 12 0.119 $1.45 $0.20 +16.0%
Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? Yes 86 0.015 $1.29 $-3.30 -72.0%
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 No 2 0.835 $1.28 $0.84 +187.9%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? Yes 84 0.015 $1.26 $-0.75 -37.5%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? Yes 60 0.021 $1.23 $-0.15 -10.9%
Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027? No 72 0.013 $0.94 $-1.37 -59.4%
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? Yes 3 0.309 $0.94 $0.87 +1306.8%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 1 0.909 $0.91 $0.52 +134.4%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 2 0.485 $0.89 $0.25 +38.6%
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? Yes 4 0.235 $0.89 $0.55 +161.1%
Will Kamu Kirk be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)? Yes 58 0.015 $0.84 $-0.78 -48.2%
Epic Games IPO before 2027? Yes 7 0.107 $0.76 $-0.20 -21.0%
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes 2 0.445 $0.70 $0.13 +23.6%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by August 31, 2026? Yes 50 0.013 $0.67 $0.22 +50.0%
Trump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026? Yes 3 0.165 $0.53 $-0.27 -34.0%
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 5.5%? Yes 30 0.018 $0.53 $0.20 +59.1%
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August? Yes 10 0.051 $0.51 $-0.41 -44.5%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? Yes 7 0.070 $0.50 $-0.29 -36.4%