PnL (30d)

+$13,138

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$48

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+5.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

54%

5,594W / 4,676L · 13 open

Win Return (30d)

54%

5,598W / 4,685L

Trades (30d)

10,283

across 958 markets · ~11 per market

EV / position

+$13.83

avg win $95 · loss $84

Profit Factor

1.36

$49,177 won / $36,039 lost

Reward / Risk

1.13

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2,661

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	54.5% 5,594W/4,676L	958	$240,635
💵 Economy	48.5% 590W/626L	152	$24,995
₿ Crypto	49.2% 472W/488L	86	$17,779

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 5?	Yes	522	0.905	$472.69	$-7.23	-1.5%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5?	Up	402	0.530	$212.91	$4.50	+2.2%
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	340	0.425	$144.50	$-8.50	-5.6%
Will Micron (MU) finish week of August 3 above $880?	Yes	300	0.460	$138.00	$-28.00	-16.9%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of August 3 above $320?	Yes	198	0.650	$128.58	$-7.91	-5.8%
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 3 above $80?	No	112	0.976	$109.74	$6.24	+6.0%
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 5?	Up	234	0.390	$91.41	$-21.94	-19.4%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 5?	Down	551	0.160	$88.08	$8.48	+10.7%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on August 5?	No	120	0.615	$73.61	$5.41	+7.9%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of August 3 above $490?	Yes	100	0.490	$49.00	$-14.00	-22.2%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	148	0.330	$48.91	$1.63	+3.5%
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on August 5?	Up	60	0.670	$40.20	$-2.40	-5.6%
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	90	0.370	$33.30	$2.40	+7.8%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	70	0.470	$32.90	$-4.20	-11.3%
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of August 3 above $285?	Yes	100	0.305	$30.50	$-19.50	-39.0%
Meta (META) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	60	0.435	$26.10	$0.90	+3.6%
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	41	0.610	$24.82	$3.25	+15.1%
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	67	0.330	$22.11	$-4.02	-15.4%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 3 above $215?	Yes	38	0.465	$17.57	$-3.34	-16.0%
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of August 3 above $370?	Yes	18	0.820	$15.10	$3.68	+32.3%
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of August 3 above $375?	Yes	17	0.700	$11.66	$4.00	+52.2%
SPY Opens Up or Down on August 5?	Up	6	0.525	$3.28	$-1.97	-37.5%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	10	0.340	$3.23	$0.28	+9.7%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 5?	No	1	0.250	$0.32	$0.03	+8.6%