| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
799 |
0.397 |
$317.10 |
$12.00 |
+3.9% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
3,584 |
0.065 |
$232.93 |
$-73.11 |
-23.9% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? |
No |
437 |
0.505 |
$220.74 |
$-2.19 |
-1.0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
390 |
0.515 |
$200.90 |
$26.94 |
+15.5% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
477 |
0.375 |
$178.72 |
$14.01 |
+8.5% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
145 |
0.964 |
$140.02 |
$17.48 |
+14.3% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
4,429 |
0.025 |
$112.49 |
$-16.47 |
-12.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
126 |
0.825 |
$104.28 |
$20.86 |
+25.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
448 |
0.225 |
$100.71 |
$-2.24 |
-2.2% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
103 |
0.885 |
$91.11 |
$20.08 |
+28.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
145 |
0.545 |
$79.13 |
$19.60 |
+32.9% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
87 |
0.854 |
$74.60 |
$0.04 |
+0.1% |
| Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? |
Yes |
184 |
0.365 |
$67.06 |
$2.76 |
+4.3% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
Yes |
103 |
0.615 |
$63.23 |
$8.23 |
+15.0% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
68 |
0.865 |
$58.45 |
$8.45 |
+16.9% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
68 |
0.745 |
$50.34 |
$0.34 |
+0.7% |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? |
No |
69 |
0.715 |
$49.65 |
$-0.35 |
-0.7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
556 |
0.075 |
$41.67 |
$-8.33 |
-16.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
41 |
0.905 |
$37.01 |
$-0.20 |
-0.5% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
57 |
0.625 |
$35.51 |
$-14.49 |
-29.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
33 |
0.999 |
$33.12 |
$7.25 |
+28.0% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? |
No |
40 |
0.815 |
$32.19 |
$0.59 |
+1.9% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
2,330 |
0.013 |
$31.45 |
$-142.90 |
-82.0% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.835 |
$25.46 |
$0.46 |
+1.8% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
1,584 |
0.013 |
$21.38 |
$-128.62 |
-85.7% |