PnL (30d)

+$350

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$307

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

71%

179W / 73L · 486 open

Win Return (30d)

71%

525W / 213L

Trades (30d)

738

across 46 markets · ~16 per market

EV / position

+$31.77

avg win $51 · loss $19

Profit Factor

7.12

$407 won / $57 lost

Reward / Risk

2.67

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	71.0% 179W/73L	46	$38,483
🏛 Politics	—	11	$4,255
🎬 Culture	—	1	$91

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	1,461	0.775	$1,132.20	$19.54	+1.8%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	300	0.885	$265.51	$1.50	+0.6%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	No	174	0.964	$167.44	$9.68	+6.1%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?	Yes	999	0.115	$114.87	$-146.10	-56.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	638	0.150	$95.74	$0.32	+0.3%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	258	0.315	$81.41	$-37.25	-31.4%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	116	0.375	$43.62	$1.74	+4.2%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	52	0.635	$32.84	$0.78	+2.4%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	No	33	0.925	$30.28	$4.42	+17.1%