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Trader leaderboard/BornAgain26

BornAgain26

0x978e7fb29354ef2468eb373076fd52ffcdc380bc
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$126
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$96
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-18.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
13%
7W / 47L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
16%
10W / 51L
Trades (30d)
61
across 21 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$7.43
avg win $12 · loss $13
Profit Factor
0.28
$48 won / $175 lost
Reward / Risk
0.90
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$17
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,257 · all-time $1,325,317

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.0% 92W/117L 85 $16,477
💵 Economy 22.2% 2W/7L 18 $3,581
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/5L 8 $225
🏛 Politics 50.0% 2W/2L 6 $2,961
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/2L 3 $79
🎬 Culture 100.0% 6W/0L 3 $110

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

80 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 1,767 0.635 $1,122.16 $128.63 +12.9%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 1,120 0.865 $968.79 $31.38 +3.3%
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes 1,740 0.295 $513.42 $-262.19 -33.8%
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes 1,586 0.265 $420.24 $-624.23 -59.8%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 420 0.845 $354.90 $0.41 +0.1%
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? No 150 0.964 $144.52 $18.02 +14.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 230 0.615 $141.45 $-61.95 -30.5%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 141 0.961 $135.15 $3.18 +2.4%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes 1,135 0.115 $130.53 $-149.32 -53.4%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes 419 0.301 $126.24 $3.83 +3.1%
AI bubble burst in 2026? No 142 0.852 $121.06 $11.33 +10.3%
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No 140 0.800 $112.00 $6.40 +6.1%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes 187 0.585 $109.39 $32.41 +42.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? Yes 100 0.999 $99.90 $0.20 +0.2%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 100 0.971 $97.05 $0.05 +0.1%
Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? No 100 0.927 $92.75 $-2.25 -2.4%
ECB rate cut in 2026? No 100 0.910 $91.00 $6.00 +7.1%
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? Yes 342 0.260 $88.90 $30.77 +52.9%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 100 0.886 $88.65 $18.18 +25.8%
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? Yes 100 0.860 $85.95 $-6.05 -6.6%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August? No 100 0.845 $84.49 $23.50 +38.5%
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No 100 0.835 $83.50 $2.50 +3.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 100 0.825 $82.50 $-4.50 -5.2%
Spain snap election called in 2026? No 98 0.800 $78.55 $1.96 +2.6%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes 100 0.660 $66.00 $18.00 +37.5%