| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
14 |
0.961 |
$13.03 |
$0.41 |
+3.2% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
23 |
0.541 |
$12.65 |
$-2.38 |
-15.8% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
10 |
0.925 |
$9.49 |
$0.45 |
+5.0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
10 |
0.956 |
$9.27 |
$0.21 |
+2.4% |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
8 |
0.999 |
$7.93 |
$0.30 |
+3.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
9 |
0.856 |
$7.65 |
$-0.41 |
-5.1% |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.999 |
$6.72 |
$1.04 |
+18.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
13 |
0.475 |
$6.37 |
$2.35 |
+58.3% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
8 |
0.746 |
$5.64 |
$0.56 |
+11.0% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.925 |
$5.51 |
$0.15 |
+2.8% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
5 |
0.866 |
$4.44 |
$-0.13 |
-2.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
17 |
0.245 |
$4.13 |
$-0.42 |
-9.3% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
5 |
0.723 |
$3.26 |
$-0.01 |
-0.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
9 |
0.355 |
$3.12 |
$-0.78 |
-20.0% |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? |
No |
3 |
0.955 |
$3.05 |
$0.05 |
+1.7% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
2 |
0.987 |
$2.22 |
$0.05 |
+2.3% |
| Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
2 |
0.998 |
$2.02 |
$0.02 |
+1.1% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
2 |
0.975 |
$2.00 |
$-0.00 |
-0.1% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
2 |
0.995 |
$2.00 |
$-0.00 |
-0.1% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
2 |
0.952 |
$1.98 |
$-0.02 |
-0.8% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
2 |
0.918 |
$1.92 |
$-0.08 |
-3.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.755 |
$1.79 |
$-0.04 |
-1.9% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
2 |
0.974 |
$1.77 |
$0.68 |
+62.2% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
2 |
0.816 |
$1.63 |
$0.12 |
+7.9% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
1 |
0.985 |
$1.31 |
$0.01 |
+1.0% |