shaqiu
0x974ebaead50bccd38ba05d3a7dac0f62528dfb14
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
3W / 3L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
36%
4W / 7L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
13
across 9 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.06
avg win $0 · loss $0
Profit Factor
3.66
$0 won / $0 lost
Reward / Risk
1.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $315 · all-time $24,237
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
2 |
0.935 |
$2.08 |
$0.08 |
+3.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
2 |
0.835 |
$1.92 |
$-0.08 |
-4.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
3 |
0.695 |
$1.80 |
$-0.20 |
-9.8% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? |
Yes |
2 |
0.770 |
$1.77 |
$-0.23 |
-11.5% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
6 |
0.095 |
$0.57 |
$-1.40 |
-71.2% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
4 |
0.140 |
$0.52 |
$-0.48 |
-48.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? |
No |
2 |
0.003 |
$0.01 |
$-1.99 |
-99.7% |