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Trader leaderboard/IP1380

IP1380

0x96e8e42db87aae72bf635ef6db7c3f1adb2dd240
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
2W / 2L · 243 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
2W / 2L · 243 open
Trades (30d)
247
across 6 markets · ~41 per market
EV / position
+$0.46
avg win $3 · loss $1
Profit Factor
2.15
$3 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
4.31
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $137,838 · all-time $6,112,990

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.8% 182W/163L 89 $14,321
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 11 $1,935
💵 Economy 10 $834
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 3 $459
🤖 Tech 1 $21

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes 9,000 0.065 $584.97 $-183.31 -23.9%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 5,000 0.114 $567.54 $-500.35 -46.9%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No 1,504 0.180 $270.65 $-134.89 -33.3%
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? Yes 1,155 0.209 $241.50 $102.03 +73.2%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? No 6,929 0.013 $93.54 $-114.33 -55.0%
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 26,409 0.004 $92.43 $13.20 +16.7%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 26,310 0.003 $65.77 $-13.15 -16.7%
Will Rihanna release an album in 2026? Yes 390 0.150 $58.44 $-68.83 -54.1%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 200 0.285 $56.98 $-13.02 -18.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 200 0.215 $43.00 $-5.00 -10.4%
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? Yes 114 0.355 $40.56 $-0.00 -0.0%
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? No 100 0.380 $38.00 $1.00 +2.7%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 1,378 0.025 $33.77 $0.19 +0.6%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 4,801 0.006 $28.81 $-26.72 -48.1%
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? Yes 263 0.101 $26.42 $10.63 +67.3%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? Yes 1,779 0.013 $23.13 $-29.96 -56.4%
Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 953 0.022 $20.98 $1.91 +10.0%
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 10,000 0.002 $15.00 $-5.00 -25.0%
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 536 0.026 $13.94 $-2.04 -12.7%
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be at least 60,000? Yes 693 0.014 $9.71 $8.32 +600.0%
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? Yes 23 0.365 $8.35 $-0.11 -1.4%
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes 2,041 0.003 $5.10 $0.21 +4.3%
Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin? Yes 358 0.009 $3.40 $-0.04 -1.2%
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 40,000-50,000? Yes 217 0.014 $3.04 $-8.13 -72.8%
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? No 2 0.785 $1.76 $0.35 +24.6%