PnL (30d)

−$1,341

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$146

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

40%

1,329W / 1,961L · 123 open

Win Return (30d)

41%

1,390W / 2,023L

Trades (30d)

3,413

across 127 markets · ~27 per market

EV / position

−$11.27

avg win $69 · loss $59

Profit Factor

0.69

$3,047 won / $4,388 lost

Reward / Risk

1.18

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,867

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	40.4% 1,329W/1,961L	127	$80,906
🏛 Politics	28.2% 101W/257L	22	$11,034
🎬 Culture	28.2% 101W/257L	22	$11,034

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,070	0.179	$192.10	$52.73	+37.8%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	200	0.585	$117.00	$-17.00	-12.7%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	455	0.080	$36.17	$3.97	+12.3%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	216	0.125	$27.05	$7.00	+34.9%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	221	0.025	$5.61	$-9.37	-62.5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	42	0.028	$1.17	$-6.74	-85.2%