| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.995 |
$16.82 |
$-0.01 |
-0.0% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
17 |
0.926 |
$15.75 |
$-0.04 |
-0.3% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
16 |
0.983 |
$15.49 |
$-0.07 |
-0.4% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.925 |
$15.36 |
$0.08 |
+0.5% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.972 |
$15.08 |
$-0.06 |
-0.4% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? |
No |
14 |
0.929 |
$12.95 |
$0.07 |
+0.5% |
| New pandemic in 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.935 |
$11.70 |
$-0.05 |
-0.4% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
17 |
0.625 |
$10.41 |
$-0.90 |
-8.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
10 |
0.986 |
$9.97 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
11 |
0.935 |
$9.88 |
$-0.04 |
-0.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
14 |
0.625 |
$8.85 |
$0.57 |
+6.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
8 |
0.981 |
$7.68 |
$0.02 |
+0.3% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
7 |
0.976 |
$7.17 |
$-0.01 |
-0.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
8 |
0.875 |
$6.74 |
$-0.04 |
-0.5% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
No |
12 |
0.535 |
$6.62 |
$1.11 |
+20.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.986 |
$6.05 |
$-0.02 |
-0.4% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? |
No |
6 |
0.952 |
$5.93 |
$0.02 |
+0.3% |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.915 |
$5.82 |
$-0.03 |
-0.6% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? |
No |
5 |
0.915 |
$4.24 |
$-0.07 |
-1.6% |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
Yes |
4 |
0.993 |
$4.12 |
$-0.01 |
-0.2% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? |
No |
4 |
0.945 |
$3.41 |
$-0.01 |
-0.4% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.994 |
$3.29 |
$-0.00 |
-0.1% |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
3 |
0.914 |
$3.18 |
$-0.03 |
-0.9% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? |
No |
3 |
0.966 |
$3.17 |
$-0.01 |
-0.3% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.975 |
$3.15 |
$-0.01 |
-0.2% |