icariam06
0x95929ed92966ed5d29b47568191fe1c7e877a8fd
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$12
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$90
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
86%
19W / 3L · 268 open
Win Return (30d)
30%
65W / 155L · 70 open
Trades (30d)
290
across 87 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$3.99
avg win $11 · loss $10
Profit Factor
2.15
$22 won / $10 lost
Reward / Risk
1.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,110 · all-time $782,463
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
Yes |
150 |
0.360 |
$54.00 |
$-6.00 |
-10.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.435 |
$17.40 |
$-2.00 |
-10.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat? |
Yes |
20 |
0.610 |
$12.20 |
$-0.80 |
-6.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.440 |
$8.80 |
$-1.00 |
-10.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat? |
Yes |
39 |
0.110 |
$4.32 |
$-3.14 |
-42.1% |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? |
No |
40 |
0.105 |
$4.20 |
$-1.80 |
-30.0% |
| Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
50 |
0.043 |
$2.17 |
$-2.83 |
-56.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat? |
No |
20 |
0.105 |
$2.10 |
$-1.10 |
-34.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.595 |
$1.61 |
$0.01 |
+0.8% |