| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
16,565 |
0.790 |
$13,094.63 |
$4,812.13 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
16,565 |
0.209 |
$3,470.37 |
$-4,812.13 |
-58.1% |
| Will Mark Lynch place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? |
No |
1,495 |
0.984 |
$1,470.23 |
$289.26 |
+24.5% |
| Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in August 2026? |
No |
565 |
0.981 |
$554.47 |
$12.58 |
+2.3% |
| Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 100m by August 31? |
Yes |
824 |
0.595 |
$490.02 |
$-54.21 |
-10.0% |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week? |
No |
446 |
0.934 |
$416.59 |
$199.90 |
+92.3% |
| Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song this week? |
Yes |
442 |
0.920 |
$406.36 |
$7.08 |
+1.8% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? |
No |
450 |
0.785 |
$353.25 |
$105.35 |
+42.5% |
| Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? |
Yes |
383 |
0.795 |
$304.49 |
$102.47 |
+50.7% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
291 |
0.966 |
$281.43 |
$91.84 |
+48.4% |
| Will "Petal - Ariana Grande" be the #1 US song this week? |
Yes |
292 |
0.890 |
$259.67 |
$82.09 |
+46.2% |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
280 |
0.925 |
$259.00 |
$81.80 |
+46.2% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? |
No |
253 |
0.984 |
$248.62 |
$26.28 |
+11.8% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
248 |
0.997 |
$246.70 |
$81.37 |
+49.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
317 |
0.775 |
$245.75 |
$102.95 |
+72.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
253 |
0.895 |
$226.39 |
$49.12 |
+27.7% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
No |
261 |
0.775 |
$202.66 |
$85.75 |
+73.4% |
| Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? |
Yes |
270 |
0.740 |
$199.71 |
$77.86 |
+63.9% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? |
Yes |
225 |
0.631 |
$141.97 |
$63.00 |
+79.8% |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? |
Yes |
196 |
0.710 |
$139.28 |
$58.98 |
+73.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
138 |
0.920 |
$126.54 |
$18.97 |
+17.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
118 |
0.953 |
$112.30 |
$18.40 |
+19.6% |
| Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? |
Yes |
401 |
0.273 |
$109.59 |
$52.21 |
+91.0% |
| Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%? |
Yes |
168 |
0.650 |
$109.20 |
$28.32 |
+35.0% |
| Will Twice release a song in 2026? |
Yes |
180 |
0.583 |
$104.80 |
$-27.15 |
-20.6% |