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Trader

0x956170200cd4c0d8f98b68712a78f0dc7a970570
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$69
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$19
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-63.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
12%
4W / 29L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
11%
4W / 34L
Trades (30d)
38
across 13 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$6.88
avg win $9 · loss $9
Profit Factor
0.11
$9 won / $77 lost
Reward / Risk
1.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$69
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $14,093 · all-time $233,317

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 11.4% 8W/62L 34 $400
₿ Crypto 12.1% 4W/29L 13 $123
⚽ Sports 50.0% 2W/2L 3 $27
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $6

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? Yes 1,855 0.029 $54.73 $4.73 +9.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? Yes 2,611 0.009 $24.80 $-4.90 -16.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7? No 124 0.075 $9.27 $-4.87 -34.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 627 0.015 $9.09 $2.82 +45.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6? No 143 0.033 $4.71 $-8.03 -63.0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 2,202 0.001 $1.10 $-7.43 -87.1%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 343 0.002 $0.51 $-1.49 -74.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 5? No 926 0.001 $0.46 $-8.54 -94.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? No 48 0.009 $0.41 $-2.06 -83.3%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 710 0.001 $0.35 $-1.06 -75.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6? No 203 0.002 $0.30 $-3.43 -91.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? Yes 167 0.002 $0.25 $-2.75 -91.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 6? No 406 0.001 $0.20 $-7.34 -97.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 5? No 319 0.001 $0.16 $-14.24 -98.9%