Trader
0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$13,410
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-69.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
9%
4W / 40L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
11%
5W / 41L
Trades (30d)
46
across 7 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$2,682.09
avg win $63 · loss $4,512
Profit Factor
0.01
$127 won / $13,537 lost
Reward / Risk
0.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$10,459
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $65,182 · all-time $10,695,919
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31? |
No |
1,671 |
0.993 |
$1,659.53 |
$215.14 |
+14.9% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.350 |
$1,400.00 |
$-1,080.00 |
-43.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
Yes |
1,734 |
0.798 |
$1,383.59 |
$952.93 |
+221.3% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,478 |
0.115 |
$629.97 |
$-1,577.39 |
-71.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? |
No |
66 |
0.973 |
$64.49 |
$10.03 |
+18.4% |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.690 |
$4.83 |
$0.21 |
+4.5% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.220 |
$4.40 |
$1.40 |
+46.7% |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
2,550 |
0.002 |
$3.82 |
$-512.49 |
-99.3% |