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Trader

0x954afe1e233aec4344b1c1e0817df70b28a0575d
PnL (30d)
+$5
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+12.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
88%
23W / 3L · 69 open
Win Return (30d)
94%
82W / 5L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
95
across 13 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$2.44
avg win $7 · loss $2
Profit Factor
3.11
$7 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
3.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $18 · all-time $24,768

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 88.5% 23W/3L 13 $86
🏛 Politics 2 $12
₿ Crypto 1 $0
💵 Economy 1 $5
🤖 Tech 1 $1

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? No 23 0.920 $21.60 $0.74 +3.5%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No 7 0.885 $6.49 $0.97 +17.6%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 7 0.915 $6.31 $0.20 +3.2%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 6 0.976 $5.68 $0.14 +2.5%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 6 0.961 $5.49 $0.18 +3.4%
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No 6 0.961 $5.31 $0.31 +6.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 27 0.155 $4.14 $-5.71 -58.0%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes 4 0.850 $3.51 $-0.05 -1.3%
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No 3 0.965 $2.93 $0.02 +0.6%
New pandemic in 2026? No 3 0.935 $2.41 $0.14 +6.2%
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes 5 0.390 $1.95 $0.55 +39.3%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No 2 0.926 $1.81 $0.05 +2.9%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No 2 0.968 $1.66 $0.06 +3.9%
NATO article 5 before 2027? No 1 0.930 $1.33 $0.03 +2.2%
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? No 1 0.918 $1.30 $0.12 +10.2%
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 19 0.065 $1.27 $-1.66 -56.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 5 0.085 $0.42 $-1.07 -71.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 6 0.055 $0.31 $-0.59 -65.6%
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 1 0.100 $0.11 $-0.15 -57.2%