| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
Yes |
320 |
0.205 |
$65.60 |
$-31.40 |
-32.4% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.150 |
$7.53 |
$-26.52 |
-77.9% |
| Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? |
No |
50 |
0.135 |
$6.75 |
$-30.75 |
-82.0% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
22 |
0.300 |
$6.71 |
$-6.27 |
-48.3% |
| Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive? |
Yes |
20 |
0.320 |
$6.40 |
$-3.00 |
-31.9% |
| Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? |
Yes |
50 |
0.124 |
$6.20 |
$-28.30 |
-82.0% |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
Yes |
151 |
0.034 |
$5.13 |
$-19.87 |
-79.5% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.114 |
$4.54 |
$-27.78 |
-86.0% |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
Yes |
90 |
0.045 |
$4.05 |
$-13.95 |
-77.5% |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
Yes |
40 |
0.097 |
$3.86 |
$-15.20 |
-79.7% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Yes |
3 |
0.865 |
$2.74 |
$-0.00 |
-0.1% |
| Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? |
No |
20 |
0.132 |
$2.63 |
$-14.77 |
-84.9% |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.125 |
$2.50 |
$-3.30 |
-56.9% |
| Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
20 |
0.115 |
$2.30 |
$-4.70 |
-67.1% |
| Will Gen.G Global Academy win LCK CL 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.094 |
$1.88 |
$1.08 |
+135.0% |
| Will Brandon Hyde be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies? |
Yes |
30 |
0.055 |
$1.65 |
$1.05 |
+175.0% |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? |
Yes |
26 |
0.049 |
$1.25 |
$-4.56 |
-78.4% |
| Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.062 |
$1.25 |
$-3.75 |
-75.0% |
| Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? |
Yes |
20 |
0.062 |
$1.24 |
$-1.48 |
-54.4% |
| Will Carlos Beltran be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies? |
Yes |
40 |
0.030 |
$1.22 |
$0.42 |
+52.5% |
| Will Zdenko Lučić be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.044 |
$0.89 |
$-1.51 |
-62.9% |
| Will David Ross be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies? |
Yes |
47 |
0.010 |
$0.47 |
$-0.47 |
-50.0% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.019 |
$0.39 |
$-5.21 |
-93.0% |
| Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? |
No |
2 |
0.205 |
$0.37 |
$0.06 |
+20.6% |
| Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.011 |
$0.22 |
$-2.58 |
-92.1% |