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Trader leaderboard/GaioMario

GaioMario

0x94d0f4a485b7670d244224b33e1659a8b1959e65
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$155
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
54%
26W / 22L
Trades (30d)
48
across 11 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,812 · all-time $426,626

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 79.2% 57W/15L 30 $21,559
🏛 Politics 6 $3,235

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No 4,334 0.815 $3,531.43 $252.43 +7.7%
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? No 3,685 0.895 $3,298.01 $397.17 +13.7%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? No 3,000 0.815 $2,444.69 $34.70 +1.4%
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? No 3,481 0.625 $2,175.81 $-401.93 -15.6%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No 2,271 0.855 $1,941.70 $440.97 +29.4%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? No 2,243 0.650 $1,457.74 $-106.84 -6.8%
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No 1,531 0.845 $1,293.68 $282.78 +28.0%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No 2,626 0.440 $1,155.63 $399.63 +52.9%
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? No 1,346 0.855 $1,150.75 $292.18 +34.0%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? No 1,081 0.940 $1,015.84 $49.71 +5.1%
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? No 1,184 0.810 $959.04 $-30.50 -3.1%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No 1,630 0.585 $953.59 $-28.55 -2.9%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? No 1,000 0.940 $940.00 $150.00 +19.0%
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? No 1,219 0.770 $938.36 $-32.12 -3.3%
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No 934 0.952 $889.15 $56.80 +6.8%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? No 1,121 0.780 $874.27 $3.25 +0.4%
Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? No 942 0.725 $683.05 $34.91 +5.4%
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? No 1,100 0.570 $626.88 $-1.11 -0.2%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? No 856 0.535 $457.86 $-95.53 -17.3%
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? No 570 0.405 $230.90 $-3.15 -1.3%
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No 476 0.260 $123.76 $-99.51 -44.6%
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? No 380 0.320 $121.55 $-71.45 -37.0%
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? No 300 0.375 $112.50 $-10.50 -8.5%
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? No 81 0.725 $58.60 $2.02 +3.6%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No 100 0.280 $28.00 $-21.00 -42.9%