PnL (30d)

−$763

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$732

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

89%

132W / 17L · 16 open

Win Return (30d)

90%

148W / 17L

Trades (30d)

165

across 13 markets · ~13 per market

EV / position

−$76.27

avg win $95 · loss $334

Profit Factor

0.43

$572 won / $1,335 lost

Reward / Risk

0.29

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$756

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	88.6% 132W/17L	13	$24,438
🏛 Politics	87.9% 29W/4L	4	$12,928
💵 Economy	100.0% 16W/0L	1	$1,094
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/4L	1	$748

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	10,940	0.835	$9,134.84	$483.27	+5.6%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	2,534	0.786	$1,992.64	$373.70	+23.1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	1,572	0.165	$259.46	$-133.66	-34.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	244	0.785	$191.22	$66.99	+53.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	250	0.215	$53.67	$-58.67	-52.2%