Jia-yi
0x94c56fb3f8e7b8a934ddbfd1a4fa1a4282b9e6ee
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$9
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$89
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
20%
3W / 12L · 69 open
Win Return (30d)
86%
72W / 12L
Trades (30d)
84
across 6 markets · ~14 per market
EV / position
−$2.88
avg win $1 · loss $11
Profit Factor
0.19
$2 won / $11 lost
Reward / Risk
0.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,903 · all-time $229,321
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
5,000 |
0.135 |
$675.00 |
$-131.24 |
-16.3% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.290 |
$290.00 |
$-10.00 |
-3.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
400 |
0.205 |
$82.00 |
$-146.00 |
-64.0% |